There’s a temptation, every spring, to turn football into a tidy little maths problem. Finish here and you’re safe, finish there and you’re gone. But with Arne Slot, it feels messier than that, because the league table doesn’t come with footnotes.

Split it into halves and you’ve got a rough yardstick, sure. Fourth? No chance his job is under threat. Ninth? Technically top half, but you can see why it would bring a very different level of noise and scrutiny. Same badge, same manager, totally different mood around the place.


Credit in the bank counts for something

The biggest point in Slot’s favour is obvious: being one of the few to win the Premier League in his first season gives him serious credit. Not a free pass forever, but a bit of breathing space when things get choppy.

That’s why any conversation about “risk” can’t just start and end with a league position. The club will look at trajectory, context, and whether it still feels like the squad is moving in the right direction even when results wobble. That’s normally how sensible football decisions get made, even if the outside noise doesn’t always follow.


The summer spend and the media expectations

Another part of this is how the summer was framed. Big money and big names tend to get treated like a guarantee. But that can hide an uncomfortable truth: moving a lot of players on, especially ones who played massive roles, is always destabilising.

If the recruitment had been cheaper and quieter, the narrative would have been about “how Liverpool replace what they’ve lost”. Instead, the hype swung straight to “they have to win now”, and that’s shaped how a lot of people judge any lack of progression. It’s not always fair, but it’s real.


When disruption stops being an excuse and starts being the point

Then there’s the sheer list of issues the season has thrown up: a new striker barely getting going because of transfer shenanigans and then suffering a broken leg; missing out on a centre-back target; a backup centre-back picking up what’s described as a potentially career-altering injury; our best midfielder being shunted to right-back; one of the greatest to ever wear the kit seemingly disappearing; and, most seriously of all, the tragic loss of Jotta.

Any one of those could knock a team sideways. All of them at once? That’s not “bad luck”, that’s the story of the season.

So where’s the line? Top six feels safe enough. From seventh onwards, it starts to get uncomfortable. And whether even sixth becomes risky probably depends on how the club itself viewed the summer: instant-silverware expectation, or the start of a necessary two-year rebuild.

Written by chewysuarez7: 2 January 2026